The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-14, 3-6 Big West) take a three-game losing streak into a road matchup with the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-13, 2-7 Big West), who have lost four straight. The Roadrunners are underdogs by only 1.5 points in the contest, which starts at 9:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN+) on Thursday, January 29, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 160.5.

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Cal Poly vs. CSU Bakersfield betting lines

• Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: -121
• CSU Bakersfield moneyline odds to win: +101
• Spread: Cal Poly (-1.5)
• Total: 160.5

Cal Poly statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• When playing at home, Cal Poly owns a worse record against the spread (2-5-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (6-5-0).
• When playing at home, the Mustangs exceed the over/under 28.6% of the time (two of seven games). They hit the over more often in away games, exceeding the total in 72.7% of games (eight of 11).
• As a moneyline favorite, Cal Poly has the same winning percentage when playing at home compared to when playing on the road (.000).

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Mustangs have been putting up 76.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 79.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
• Cal Poly has been less stingy on defense as of late, giving up 87.2 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 86.7 points per game its opponents average on the 2025-26 season.
• The Mustangs are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 10.4 threes per game and shooting 30.4% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.8 makes and 33.3% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Cal Poly betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-11-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 6-5-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 0-2-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
• O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 8-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-12 (Home: 2-4; Away: 3-7)

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CSU Bakersfield statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• In 2025-26 against the spread, CSU Bakersfield has a better winning percentage at home (.444, 4-5-0 record) than on the road (.400, 4-6-0).
• Roadrunners games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (two times out of nine) than on the road (seven of 10) this year.
• The Roadrunners, as moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (1-4) as away (2-8) this year.

Recent trends

• The Roadrunners are scoring 72.5 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is the same number of points they’re averaging for the season.
• Over its previous 10 games, CSU Bakersfield is surrendering 76.2 points per game, 2.3 fewer points than its season average (78.5).
• In their last 10 games, the Roadrunners are draining 5.2 threes per game, 0.3 more than their season average (4.9). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (31.1%) compared to their season average (29.5%).

CSU Bakersfield betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 4-6-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 7-8-0 (As Favorite: 1-3-0; As Underdog: 7-8-0)
• O-U-P: 9-10-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 7-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-1 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-12 (Home: 1-4; Away: 2-8)