The Saint Thomas Tommies (17-5, 6-1 Summit League) are heavy favorites (-11.5) as they look to continue an eight-game home win streak when they host the North Dakota Fightin’ Hawks (12-12, 6-2 Summit League) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 at Lee & Penny Anderson Arena. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on Summit League Network. The matchup has a point total of 153.5.
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St. Thomas Cover -11.5 vs North Dakota -111
St. Thomas vs. North Dakota betting lines
- St. Thomas moneyline odds to win: -833
- North Dakota moneyline odds to win: +562
- Spread: St. Thomas (-11.5)
- Total: 153.5
St. Thomas statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- St. Thomas has done a better job covering the spread in away games (6-4-0) than it has in home games (2-5-0).
- Looking at over/unders, the Tommies hit the over more often when playing at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total four times in seven opportunities this season (57.1%). On the road, they have hit the over five times in 10 opportunities (50%).
- St. Thomas, as a moneyline favorite, has an identical winning percentage in home games (7-0 record) and away from home (6-0 record).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Tommies have been scoring 87.0 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 82.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- St. Thomas has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 73.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.3 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2025-26 season.
- During their past 10 outings, the Tommies are making 0.9 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.1 compared to 9.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (42.3% compared to 35.4% season-long).
St. Thomas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-11-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 1-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 0-4-0)
- O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 (17th in nation) | 43.7 (172nd) | 30.0 (291st) | 31.2 (193rd) | 16.7 (51st) | 9.3 (24th) |
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North Dakota statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- North Dakota has performed better against the spread away (8-3-0) than at home (5-4-0) this year.
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Fightin’ Hawks’ games have finished above the over/under at home (55.6%, five of nine) than on the road (45.5%, five of 11).
- The Fightin’ Hawks’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .400 (2-3), and away it is .444 (4-5).
Recent trends
- The Fightin’ Hawks are putting up 81.3 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 77.6.
- While North Dakota is ceding 76.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 77.0 points per contest.
- The Fightin’ Hawks are making 9.6 threes per game with a 38.7% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.3 and 34.0%.
North Dakota betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-8-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 10-6-0)
- O-U-P: 10-11-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-2 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-9 (Home: 2-3; Away: 4-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (271st in nation) | 48.0 (343rd) | 30.9 (264th) | 32.0 (231st) | 11.5 (333rd) | 10.0 (62nd) |
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