The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-23, 2-17 Big West) are 9.5-point underdogs as they try to turn around a 14-game losing streak when they visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (13-18, 9-10 Big West) on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under is set at 174.5 in the matchup.
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Cal Poly Cover -9.5 vs CSU Bakersfield -112
Cal Poly vs. CSU Bakersfield betting lines
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: -543
- CSU Bakersfield moneyline odds to win: +388
- Spread: Cal Poly (-9.5)
- Total: 174.5
Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Cal Poly sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (6-5-0) than it does in road games (9-8-0).
- The Mustangs have eclipsed the total in five of 11 home games (45.5%). They’ve fared better in away games, going over the total in 11 of 17 matchups (64.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Cal Poly has an identical winning percentage at home compared to away from home (.500).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 85.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 4.0 points more than the 81.7 they’ve scored this season.
- Cal Poly’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (83.6) is 2.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (85.7).
- During their past 10 contests, the Mustangs are making 0.4 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (11.3 compared to 10.9 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (33.8% compared to 33.5% season-long).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 9-8-0)
- O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 11-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-2 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-16 (Home: 4-5; Away: 5-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (294th in nation) | 46.2 (288th) | 33.6 (95th) | 33.4 (315th) | 13.4 (212th) | 15.0 (365th) |
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CSU Bakersfield statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- CSU Bakersfield has performed better against the spread on the road (6-8-0) than at home (6-9-0) this season.
- Looking at the over/under, Roadrunners games have gone over seven of 15 times at home (46.7%), and nine of 14 away (64.3%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Roadrunners have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-10) than on the road (2-12).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Roadrunners are putting up 74.1 points per game, 1.1 more than their season average (73.0).
- While CSU Bakersfield is ceding 81.3 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 87.2 points per contest.
- The Roadrunners are making 0.1 fewer threes per game in their previous 10 games (4.8) compared to their season average (4.9), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (27.6%) compared to their season mark (28.9%).
CSU Bakersfield betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-17-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 6-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 1-3-0; As Underdog: 11-14-0)
- O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-1 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-22 (Home: 1-10; Away: 2-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (322nd in nation) | 46.5 (302nd) | 31.1 (234th) | 33.8 (328th) | 11.0 (348th) | 13.0 (334th) |
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