The Cincinnati Bengals, led by Chase Brown, will match up against the Cleveland Browns at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday for a Week 16 NFL contest. Let’s examine Brown’s prop bets available for this matchup, and dig into his stats and trends to figure out the best value picks.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Chase Brown to go over 74.5 yards
Chase Brown Prop Lines
- Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: December 22, 2024
- Rushing yards prop: Over 74.5 (-115)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 29.5 (-110)
Chase Brown Stats and Trends
- Brown leads the team with 832 rushing yards (59.4 ypg) on 191 attempts while scoring seven rushing TDs.
- Brown is averaging 59.4 rushing yards in 2024, 15.1 fewer than Sunday’s over/under.
- Four times this year (in 14 games, 28.6%), Brown has run for more than 74.5 yards.
- The average rushing yards prop bet he has had this season (48.9) is lower than his average total (59.4).
- In nine of 14 opportunities (64.3%), Brown has gone beyond his rushing yards prop bet.
- He has scored a rushing touchdown in six games, with multiple rushing TDs once.
- Brown also has 47 catches for 318 yards (22.7 ypg) and four receiving scores.
Recent Performances vs. the Browns
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys | 102 | 1 |
| 2 | Jaguars | 127 | 1 |
| 3 | Giants | 112 | 1 |
| 4 | Raiders | 152 | 2 |
| 5 | Commanders | 215 | 3 |
| 6 | Eagles | 116 | 0 |
| 7 | Bengals | 59 | 0 |
| 8 | Ravens | 124 | 1 |
| 9 | Chargers | 96 | 2 |
| 11 | Saints | 214 | 3 |
| 12 | Steelers | 120 | 1 |
| 13 | Broncos | 106 | 2 |
| 14 | Steelers | 120 | 1 |
| 15 | Chiefs | 132 | 1 |
Bengals Home Splits
- The Bengals score 29.5 points per game in home games (one more than their overall average), and concede 33.3 at home (5.7 more than overall).
- The Bengals’ average yards gained at home (355) is lower than their overall average (362.5). But their average yards allowed at home (383.3) is higher than overall (366.1).
- In home games, the Bengals accumulate 264 passing yards per game and give up 252.7. That’s less than they gain overall (271.4), and more than they allow (239.2).
- The Bengals’ average yards rushing at home (91) is lower than their overall average (91.1). But their average yards allowed at home (130.7) is higher than overall (126.9).
- The Bengals convert 56.3% of third downs at home (8.8% higher than their overall average), and concede 50% at home (5.6% higher than overall).
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