Highmark Stadium features Week 16 action as the New England Patriots and Drake Maye face off against the Buffalo Bills at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s examine Maye’s prop bets available for this matchup, and dig into his stats and trends to figure out the best value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $36.00
Drake Maye to go over 205.5 yards
Drake Maye Prop Lines
- Matchup: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Date: December 22, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 205.5 (-125)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 27.5 (-120)
Drake Maye Stats and Trends
- Maye has thrown for 1,898 yards (189.8 per game), completing 68.5% of his throws, with 12 TDs and nine INTs.
- Compared to his 205.5-yard over/under for this contest, Maye is throwing for fewer yards per game — 189.8 — this year.
- In six games this season, Maye has thrown for over 205.5 yards.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 202.3 passing yards, while his actual passing average is under that by 12.5 yards.
- This season, Maye has hit the over on his passing yards prop total in six of nine opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of 10 games (including multiple TDs three times).
- Maye has also run 42 times for 359 yards and two TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals | 146 | 1 |
| 2 | Dolphins | 212 | 1 |
| 3 | Jaguars | 147 | 1 |
| 4 | Ravens | 156 | 2 |
| 5 | Texans | 331 | 1 |
| 6 | Jets | 272 | 2 |
| 7 | Titans | 200 | 1 |
| 8 | Seahawks | 201 | 0 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 224 | 2 |
| 10 | Colts | 240 | 2 |
| 11 | Chiefs | 181 | 3 |
| 13 | 49ers | 86 | 0 |
| 14 | Rams | 320 | 2 |
| 15 | Lions | 473 | 5 |
Patriots Away Splits
- The Patriots score fewer points away from home (14.5 per game) than they do overall (17), but also allow fewer in away games (22.9 per game) than overall (24.1).
- The Patriots accumulate fewer yards in away games (267.9 per game) than they do overall (292.4), but also concede fewer away from home (341.1 per game) than overall (344.1).
- The Patriots pick up fewer passing yards in road games (166 per game) than they do overall (173.2), and concede more (217.4 per game) than overall (216.7).
- The Patriots pick up fewer rushing yards in away games (101.9 per game) than they do overall (119.2), but they also allow fewer on the road (123.8 per game) than overall (127.4).
- On the road, the Patriots convert fewer third downs (30.3%) than overall (34.3%). They also allow opponents to convert on more third downs in road games (46.2%) than overall (42.4%).
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