The Saint Louis Billikens (17-12, 10-6 A-10) are 6.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Dayton Flyers (20-9, 10-6 A-10) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at UD Arena. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is 144.5.
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Dayton Cover -6.5 vs Saint Louis -112
Dayton vs. Saint Louis betting lines
- Dayton moneyline odds to win: -303
- Saint Louis moneyline odds to win: +242
- Spread: Dayton (-6.5)
- Total: 144.5
Dayton statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Dayton has done a better job covering the spread in road games (4-4-0) than it has at home (6-10-0).
- When playing at home, the Flyers go over the total 68.8% of the time (11 of 16 games). They’ve hit the over in 62.5% of road games (five of eight contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, Dayton has won 13 of 14 games when playing at home, good for a .929 winning percentage. It has won three of seven games on the road (.429) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Flyers have been scoring 73.9 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Dayton’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (71.5) is 1.6 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.9).
- While the Flyers are hitting the same number of threes per game over their past 10 contests when compared to their season-long average (7.9), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (33.8% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 35.4% on the season).
Dayton betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 4-11-0 (As Favorite: 9-13-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 19-9-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-5 (Home: 13-1; Away: 3-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 (111th in nation) | 43.8 (178th) | 30.8 (255th) | 29.8 (98th) | 15.2 (76th) | 10.2 (81st) |
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Saint Louis statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Saint Louis’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (7-7-0). Away, it is .364 (4-7-0).
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Billikens’ games have finished above the over/under at home (28.6%, four of 14) than on the road (18.2%, two of 11).
- This season the Billikens are 1-0 at home when moneyline underdogs (1.000 winning percentage). On the road they are 1-5 (.167).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Billikens are scoring 71.7 points per contest, 2.3 fewer points than their season average (74.0).
- While Saint Louis is allowing 69.3 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 69.7 points per contest.
- Over their past 10 games, the Billikens are draining 10.0 three-pointers per contest, 0.3 more than their season average (9.7). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (35.5%) compared to their season average (34.9%).
Saint Louis betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 7-20-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 2-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 10-3; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (51st in nation) | 41.1 (46th) | 32.7 (139th) | 32.1 (245th) | 15.1 (84th) | 12.2 (274th) |
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