The North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 12-6 ACC) will attempt to extend a five-game winning streak when they visit the Virginia Tech Hokies (13-16, 8-10 ACC) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at Cassell Coliseum as 8.5-point favorites. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The matchup’s over/under is set at 149.5.
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North Carolina Cover -8.5 vs Virginia Tech -108
North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -376
- Virginia Tech moneyline odds to win: +296
- Spread: North Carolina (-8.5)
- Total: 149.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In home games, North Carolina has a better record against the spread (7-7-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (3-8-0).
- When it comes to over/unders, the Tar Heels hit the over less consistently in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total seven times in 14 opportunities this season (50%). In away games, they have hit the over six times in 11 opportunities (54.5%).
- North Carolina has played better as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 12-2, compared to going 5-1 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 82.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.5 points more than the 81.8 they’ve scored this year.
- North Carolina has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 78.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 76.5 it has conceded this season.
- The Tar Heels’ last 10 contests have seen them make 8.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 40.3% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 7.6 makes and 34.6%.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-19-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 3-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 7-7-0 (As Favorite: 9-13-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
- O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0 (36th in nation) | 43.5 (163rd) | 33.3 (94th) | 31.2 (189th) | 14.6 (106th) | 10.6 (115th) |
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Virginia Tech statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Virginia Tech is 8-8-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, it is 6-3-0 ATS (.667).
- Looking at the over/under, Hokies games have gone over 10 of 16 times at home (62.5%), and three of nine away (33.3%).
- The Hokies’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .250 (2-6), and away it is .625 (5-3).
Recent trends
- The Hokies are compiling 70.2 points per contest in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 70.1.
- Virginia Tech has performed better defensively in its last 10 games, surrendering 71.7 points per contest, 0.8 fewer points than its season average of 72.5 allowed.
- The Hokies are sinking 8.6 treys per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (8.1). That said, they have a worse shooting percentage from downtown over their last 10 games (36.0%) compared to their season average (36.1%).
Virginia Tech betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 11-9-0)
- O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 6-2; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-13 (Home: 2-6; Away: 5-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (192nd in nation) | 45.6 (275th) | 30.3 (284th) | 28.6 (45th) | 13.1 (223rd) | 12.3 (280th) |

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