Duke vs. Florida State betting: ACC Tournament preview for March 12

Data Skrive

The No. 8 seed Florida State Seminoles (18-14, 10-8 ACC) are 16.5-point underdogs in their ACC Tournament matchup against the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (29-2, 17-1 ACC) on Thursday at Spectrum Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under is set at 149.5 in the matchup.

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Spread

Duke Cover -16.5 vs Florida State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Duke vs. Florida State betting lines

  • Duke moneyline odds to win: -2273
  • Florida State moneyline odds to win: +1090
  • Spread: Duke (-16.5)
  • Total: 149.5

Duke statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Blue Devils’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 78.7 points a contest compared to the 82.9 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Duke has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 58.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 62.5 it has surrendered per game this year.
  • The Blue Devils are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.4 threes per game and shooting 38.4% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.1 makes and 35.3% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-13-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 8-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 17-13-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-22-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-2 (Home: 13-0; Away: 9-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.7 (17th in nation) 38.9 (eighth) 37.2 (ninth) 26.6 (eighth) 17 (30th) 10 (82nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Duke vs. Florida State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Florida State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Seminoles are putting up 79.6 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer points than their average for the season (80.4).
  • While Florida State is surrendering 77.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its last 10 games, allowing 74.1 points per contest.
  • The Seminoles are making 10.7 threes per contest with a 37.3% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 10.4 and 32.9%.

Florida State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-13-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 8-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 9-8-0; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-3 (Home: 10-1; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-11 (Home: 0-5; Away: 4-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.7 (273rd in nation) 44.5 (195th) 32.4 (150th) 34.6 (344th) 14.5 (128th) 10.6 (148th)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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