UConn vs. Xavier betting: Big East Tournament preview for March 12

Data Skrive

The No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (27-4, 17-3 Big East) take on the No. 10 seed Xavier Musketeers (15-17, 6-14 Big East) as 15.5-point favorites in the Big East Tournament Thursday at Madison Square Garden, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is 151.5.

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UConn Cover -15.5 vs Xavier -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

UConn vs. Xavier betting lines

  • UConn moneyline odds to win: -1887
  • Xavier moneyline odds to win: +960
  • Spread: UConn (-15.5)
  • Total: 151.5

UConn statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Huskies’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 77.0 points a contest compared to the 78.2 they’ve averaged this year.
  • The last 10 games have seen UConn concede 2.0 more points per game (67.3) than its season-long average (65.3).
  • The Huskies are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 9.5 threes per game and shooting 36.4% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.4 makes and 35.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

UConn betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-21-0 (Home: 4-13-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 15.5+: 3-9-0 (As Favorite: 10-21-0; As Underdog: 0-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-15-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 9-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.4 (35th in nation) 40.1 (16th) 33.2 (106th) 27.9 (27th) 18.5 (eighth) 10.2 (100th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UConn vs. Xavier? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Xavier statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Musketeers are scoring 81.2 points per contest, 2.5 more than their season average (78.7).
  • Xavier has played worse defensively in its past 10 games, allowing 87.2 points per contest, 6.9 more points than its season average of 80.3.
  • The Musketeers are making 8.9 three-pointers per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.4). That said, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (37.7%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (36.7%).

Xavier betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-15-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 15.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 11-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 25-7-0 (Home: 14-4-0; Away: 9-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 10-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-15 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (215th in nation) 47.4 (332nd) 31.9 (188th) 34.1 (334th) 17.8 (15th) 9.6 (49th)
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