Duke vs. Mount St. Mary’s betting: March Madness First Round preview for March 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The top-seeded Duke Blue Devils (31-3) and the No. 16 Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (23-12) will meet on Friday to compete for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Duke is favored by 32.5 points in the opening round matchup, which starts at 2:50 p.m. ET on CBS. Here are the insights you need when filling out your bracket for this 1-16 matchup. The matchup has an over/under set at 140.5 points.

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Duke vs. Mount St. Mary’s betting lines

  • Duke moneyline odds to win: -25000
  • Mount St. Mary’s moneyline odds to win: +4120
  • Spread: Duke (-32.5)
  • Total: 140.5

Duke statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Blue Devils have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 89.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 6.6 points more than the 82.7 they’ve scored this year.
  • Duke has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 65.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 61.9 it has surrendered this season.
  • The Blue Devils’ last 10 contests have seen them make 10.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 38.6% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 10.1 makes and 37.8%.

Duke betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 22-12-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 9-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 32.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 21-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-17-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 30-3 (Home: 17-0; Away: 9-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.8 (16th in nation) 38.7 (seventh) 35.9 (19th) 26.9 (11th) 16.7 (23rd) 9.2 (15th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Duke vs. Mount St. Mary’s? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mount St. Mary’s statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • While the Mountaineers are scoring 70.7 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, tallying 69.2 points per contest.
  • While Mount St. Mary’s is giving up 69.9 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark over its previous 10 games, allowing 64.3 points per contest.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Mountaineers are sinking 8.9 treys per game, 0.9 more than their season average (8). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (38.4%) compared to their season average (35%).

Mount St. Mary’s betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 23-11-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 11-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-19-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 8-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 9-3; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 12-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 8-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (175th in nation) 40.8 (32nd) 34.3 (59th) 30.3 (121st) 15.1 (76th) 14.4 (356th)
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