Illinois vs. Xavier betting: March Madness First Round preview for March 21

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Data Skrive

The 11th-seeded Xavier Musketeers (22-11) will attempt to pull off a first-round NCAA Tournament upset against the No. 6 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (21-12) on Friday at Fiserv Forum. The matchup starts at 9:45 p.m. ET on CBS. Xavier is a 4.5-point underdog in the game. Here’s what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 6-11 matchup in the Midwest Region. The over/under for the matchup is set at 161.5.

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Spread

Illinois Cover -4.5 vs Xavier -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Illinois vs. Xavier betting lines

  • Illinois moneyline odds to win: -198
  • Xavier moneyline odds to win: +165
  • Spread: Illinois (-4.5)
  • Total: 161.5

Illinois statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Fighting Illini have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 81.7 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 83.8 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Illinois allow 8.6 more points per game (83.2) than its season-long average (74.6).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Fighting Illini are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.1 compared to 9.4 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (32.3% compared to 31.1% season-long).

Illinois betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-16-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 13-9-0 (As Favorite: 14-11-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-13-1 (Home: 8-8-1; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-6 (Home: 12-3; Away: 3-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.0 (158th in nation) 42.2 (82nd) 39.6 (first) 30.2 (113th) 15.0 (79th) 11.3 (199th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Illinois vs. Xavier? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Xavier statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Musketeers are posting 81.6 points per contest, 3.3 more than their season average (78.3).
  • Xavier has played worse defensively in its last 10 games, surrendering 73.5 points per contest, 2.3 more points than its season average of 71.2.
  • The Musketeers are draining 8.9 treys per contest with a 41.0% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.4 and 39.1%.

Xavier betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-14-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 14-7-0; As Underdog: 5-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-16-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-0 (Home: 15-0; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-11 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (63rd in nation) 44.5 (218th) 30.2 (287th) 29.8 (93rd) 16.9 (16th) 10.5 (117th)
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