The No. 14 North Carolina Tar Heels (18-4, 6-3 ACC) will attempt to build on a four-game winning streak when they host the No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (21-1, 10-0 ACC) at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 7, 2026 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Blue Devils have won 10 games in a row. The over/under for the matchup is set at 151.5.
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Duke Cover -6.5 vs North Carolina -109
Duke vs. North Carolina betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -279
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: +226
- Spread: Duke (-6.5)
- Total: 151.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Duke sports a worse record against the spread at home (4-7-0) than it does on the road (6-1-0).
- The Blue Devils have eclipsed the total in a lower percentage of games at home (27.3%) than away games (28.6%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Duke has an identical winning percentage when playing at home compared to when playing away from home (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Blue Devils have been racking up 80.5 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 84.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- Duke has been more porous on defense lately, giving up 64.8 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 63.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2025-26 season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Blue Devils are making 1.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.5 compared to 8.8 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (31.6% compared to 33.8% season-long).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 6-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 10-10-0 (As Favorite: 12-10-0; As Underdog: 0-0-0)
- O-U-P: 6-16-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.9 (19th in nation) | 39 (10th) | 37.2 (22nd) | 27.1 (17th) | 16.9 (44th) | 10.9 (150th) |
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North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, North Carolina is 7-6-0 at home against the spread (.538 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-3-0 ATS (.500).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Tar Heels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (46.2%, six of 13) compared to on the road (83.3%, five of six).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels are putting up 87 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 83.1.
- Over its previous 10 games, North Carolina is surrendering 77.8 points per contest, 7.2 more points than its season average (70.6).
- The Tar Heels are draining 9.4 three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.7 more than their average for the season (8.7). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (36.7%) compared to their season average from three-point land (34.4%).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 9-10-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 12-0; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1 (45th in nation) | 40.3 (31st) | 36.7 (26th) | 29.3 (74th) | 17.1 (37th) | 9.5 (38th) |
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