The Penn State Nittany Lions (10-12, 1-10 Big Ten) are heavy underdogs (by 25.5 points) to stop a six-game road losing streak when they visit the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (20-1, 10-1 Big Ten) on Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET. The point total is 161.5 in the matchup.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Spread
Bet $20, Payout $38.87
Michigan Cover -25.5 vs Penn State -106
Michigan vs. Penn State betting lines
- Michigan moneyline odds to win: -8333
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +2333
- Spread: Michigan (-25.5)
- Total: 161.5
Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Michigan has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered six times in 11 opportunities at home, and it has covered one time in six opportunities in away games.
- The Wolverines have exceeded the total in four of 11 home games (36.4%), compared to two of six road games (33.3%).
- Michigan has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-1 (.909). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 6-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Wolverines’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, racking up 85.1 points a contest compared to the 90.5 they’ve averaged this year.
- The last 10 games have seen Michigan give up 3.1 more points per game (72) than its season-long average (68.9).
- Over their past 10 outings, the Wolverines are making 1.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.2 compared to 9.1 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (29.3% compared to 34.6% season-long).
Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-11-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 1-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 25.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-11-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 8-13-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-1 (Home: 10-1; Away: 6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 (eighth in nation) | 36.9 (second) | 38.6 (sixth) | 28.1 (38th) | 18.8 (eighth) | 12.4 (293rd) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan vs. Penn State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Penn State has performed better against the spread away (3-3-0) than at home (5-8-0) this season.
- Looking at the over/under, Nittany Lions games have gone over less frequently at home (seven of 13, 53.8%) than away (five of six, 83.3%).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Nittany Lions have a better winning percentage at home (.167, 1-5 record) than away (.000, 0-5).
Recent trends
- The Nittany Lions have performed worse offensively over their past 10 games, putting up 74.4 points per contest, 2.1 fewer points their than season average of 76.5.
- In its past 10 games, Penn State is giving up 82.5 points per game, 4.1 more points than its season average (78.4).
- Over their last 10 games, the Nittany Lions are making 8.6 threes per contest, one more than their season average (7.6). However, they have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33%) compared to their season average (33.5%).
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 13-9-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-11 (Home: 1-5; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 (76th in nation) | 49.5 (359th) | 27.2 (351st) | 30.5 (148th) | 13.5 (221st) | 9.3 (31st) |
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
