Florida vs. Kentucky betting: SEC Tournament preview for March 13

Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (25-6, 16-2 SEC) are 11.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-12, 10-8 SEC) in the SEC Tournament Friday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup’s over/under is set at 160.

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Spread

Florida Cover -11.5 vs Kentucky -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Florida vs. Kentucky betting lines

  • Florida moneyline odds to win: -794
  • Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +525
  • Spread: Florida (-11.5)
  • Total: 160

Florida statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Gators have been scoring 92.1 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 87.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Florida has been more porous on defense lately, allowing 72.9 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 71.7 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2025-26 season.
  • The Gators are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.7 threes per game and shooting 37.0% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.6 makes and 31.2% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Florida betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-12-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 9-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 6-10-0 (As Favorite: 17-12-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-18-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-4 (Home: 12-1; Away: 8-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.2 (37th in nation) 40.6 (26th) 42.4 (first) 27.1 (13th) 16.9 (32nd) 11.1 (205th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Florida vs. Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kentucky statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Wildcats are posting 79.9 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than their average for the season (81.3).
  • While Kentucky is allowing 73.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 79.8 points per contest.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Wildcats are sinking 7.8 threes per contest, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (8.2). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.8%) compared to their season average (34.5%).

Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-17-0 (Home: 9-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 11-11-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-16-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-4 (Home: 13-3; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (86th in nation) 42.7 (90th) 34.1 (72nd) 30.5 (144th) 16.2 (53rd) 9.9 (72nd)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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