The No. 4 seed Toledo Rockets (18-14, 11-7 MAC) are favored by 2.5 points when they meet the No. 8 seed UMass Minutemen (17-15, 7-11 MAC) in the MAC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Friday at Rocket Arena tipping off at 5 p.m. ET and airing on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has an over/under set at 156.5 points.
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Toledo Cover -2.5 vs UMass -113
Toledo vs. UMass betting lines
- Toledo moneyline odds to win: -151
- UMass moneyline odds to win: +123
- Spread: Toledo (-2.5)
- Total: 156.5
Toledo statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Rockets have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 80.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.1 points fewer than the 81.3 they’ve scored this year.
- Toledo’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 74.6 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 76.8 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Rockets are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 7.4 threes per game and shooting 39.2% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.2 makes and 36.5% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Toledo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-14-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 9-4-0)
- O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 6-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 8-3; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (30th in nation) | 47.3 (326th) | 30.3 (271st) | 32.0 (244th) | 15.5 (84th) | 9.8 (62nd) |
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UMass statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Minutemen have performed better offensively over their past 10 games, tallying 82.3 points per contest, 1.6 more than their season average of 80.7.
- While UMass is giving up 77.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 84.1 points per contest.
- The Minutemen are draining 7.6 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they own a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (35.0%) compared to their season average (35.1%).
UMass betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-19-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-15-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
- O-U-P: 20-11-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-7 (Home: 10-2; Away: 1-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (63rd in nation) | 44.9 (224th) | 33.9 (81st) | 28.6 (45th) | 17.3 (21st) | 12.6 (322nd) |
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