Florida State vs. Pittsburgh betting: College basketball preview for March 4

Data Skrive

The Florida State Seminoles (15-14, 8-8 ACC) are slightly favored (by 1.5 points) to build on a four-game road win streak when they visit the Pittsburgh Panthers (11-18, 4-12 ACC) on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5.

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Florida State Cover -1.5 vs Pittsburgh -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Florida State vs. Pittsburgh betting lines

  • Florida State moneyline odds to win: -133
  • Pittsburgh moneyline odds to win: +109
  • Spread: Florida State (-1.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Florida State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Florida State has played worse when playing at home, covering nine times in 16 home games, and eight times in 10 road games.
  • The Seminoles have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of home games (43.8%) than road tilts (40%).
  • Florida State has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-1 (.900). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Seminoles have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 76.6 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.1 points fewer than the 79.7 they’ve scored this year.
  • Florida State’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has given up 72.4 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 77.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
  • While the Seminoles are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (9.0 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (10.1), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (32.0% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 31.7% on the season).

Florida State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 8-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-7-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-11 (Home: 0-5; Away: 4-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.9 (303rd in nation) 44.5 (195th) 32.8 (121st) 34.7 (343rd) 14.1 (155th) 10.8 (172nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Florida State vs. Pittsburgh? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Pittsburgh statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Pittsburgh has a lower winning percentage at home (.471, 8-9-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Panthers games have finished over 12 of 17 times at home (70.6%), and four of 10 on the road (40%).
  • This season the Panthers are 1-6 at home as moneyline underdogs (.143 winning percentage). Away they are 1-7 (.125).

Recent trends

  • The Panthers have fared worse offensively in their previous 10 games, posting 64.9 points per contest, 5.1 fewer points their than season average of 70.0.
  • While Pittsburgh is surrendering 71.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 72.1 points per contest.
  • In their past 10 games, the Panthers are making 8.4 treys per game, 0.1 more than their season average (8.3). However, they have a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.9%) compared to their season average (33.7%).

Pittsburgh betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 6-9-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 6-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 12-5-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-13 (Home: 1-6; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.7 (274th in nation) 45.8 (267th) 31.4 (218th) 29.6 (91st) 13.2 (231st) 10.8 (172nd)
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