The SMU Mustangs (19-10, 8-8 ACC) host the No. 22 Miami Hurricanes (23-6, 12-4 ACC) after winning three home games in a row. The Mustangs are favored by just 1.5 points in the contest, which begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026. The matchup has an over/under set at 160.5 points.
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SMU Cover -1.5 vs Miami (FL) -110
SMU vs. Miami (FL) betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -125
- Miami (FL) moneyline odds to win: +102
- Spread: SMU (-1.5)
- Total: 160.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SMU has a better record against the spread in home games (8-9-0) than it does in road games (4-5-1).
- At home, the Mustangs eclipse the total 58.8% of the time (10 of 17 games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of away games (five of 10 contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, SMU has picked up the win in 14 of 14 games at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. It has won two of five games on the road (.400) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 82.6 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.2 points fewer than the 85.8 they’ve scored this year.
- SMU has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 80.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 78.0 it has surrendered this year.
- The Mustangs’ past 10 contests have seen them make 9.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 39.9% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 8.2 makes and 37.9%.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-15-1 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 4-5-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-11-0 (As Favorite: 7-11-0; As Underdog: 6-4-1)
- O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 14-0; Away: 2-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.8 (17th in nation) | 43.1 (106th) | 34.3 (62nd) | 30.7 (165th) | 17.4 (20th) | 10.7 (159th) |
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Miami (FL) statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Miami (FL) has had better results away (7-2-0) than at home (8-9-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Hurricanes games have gone over 12 of 17 times at home (70.6%), and six of nine on the road (66.7%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Hurricanes have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.600, 3-2).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Hurricanes are scoring 78.4 points per contest, 4.3 fewer points than their season average (82.7).
- Miami (FL) has performed worse defensively over its last 10 games, surrendering 72.1 points per contest, 2.1 more points than its season average of 70.0.
- Over their last 10 games, the Hurricanes are making 5.7 threes per contest, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (6.5). They have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (35.6%) compared to their season average (34.0%).
Miami (FL) betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 11-10-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
- O-U-P: 18-11-0 (Home: 12-5-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 10-2; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5 (ninth in nation) | 43.8 (148th) | 34.8 (55th) | 26.7 (10th) | 16.2 (56th) | 11.1 (205th) |
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