Jaylen Warren and his Pittsburgh Steelers teammates match up against the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET Monday. In this piece, we’ll dig into Warren’s stats and trends to help you find the best bets among his props for this contest.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Jaylen Warren to go over 51.5 yards
Jaylen Warren Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: January 12, 2026
- Rushing yards prop: Over 51.5 (-112)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 10.5 (-116)
Jaylen Warren Stats and Trends
- Warren has run for a team-leading 958 yards on 211 attempts (59.9 ypg), and has scored six rushing TDs.
- Warren averages 59.9 rushing yards, 8.4 more than Monday’s over/under.
- Warren has totaled more than 51.5 yards on the ground in nine of 16 games.
- The average rushing yards prop bet he has had this season (54.6) is lower than his average total (59.9).
- Warren has topped his rushing yards over/under in eight of 16 opportunities (50.0%) this season.
- He has recorded multiple rushing touchdowns twice this year, and has scored in four games overall.
- Warren has also contributed 40 catches for 333 yards (20.8 yypg) and two touchdowns.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rams | 72 | 1 |
| 2 | Buccaneers | 169 | 1 |
| 3 | Jaguars | 86 | 2 |
| 4 | Titans | 82 | 0 |
| 5 | Ravens | 44 | 1 |
| 7 | Seahawks | 118 | 2 |
| 8 | 49ers | 48 | 0 |
| 9 | Broncos | 100 | 0 |
| 10 | Jaguars | 94 | 1 |
| 11 | Titans | 58 | 0 |
| 12 | Bills | 143 | 1 |
| 13 | Colts | 86 | 0 |
| 14 | Chiefs | 126 | 1 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 72 | 0 |
| 16 | Raiders | 145 | 1 |
| 17 | Chargers | 74 | 1 |
| 18 | Colts | 76 | 1 |
Steelers Home Splits
- The Steelers score 23.4 points per game at home (the same as their overall average), and give up 21.4 at home (1.4 less than overall).
- The Steelers accumulate 296.7 yards per game at home (8.9 less than their overall average), and concede 350 at home (6.9 less than overall).
- The Steelers accumulate 203.6 passing yards per game in home games (1.2 more than their overall average), and concede 243.9 at home (same as overall).
- The Steelers’ average rushing yards gained (93.1) and conceded (106.1) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 103.3 and 113.1, respectively.
- The Steelers convert 37.8% of third downs at home (2.2% lower than their overall average), and give up 39.7% at home (1.8% lower than overall).
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