The AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs features Nico Collins and the Houston Texans against the Pittsburgh Steelers at 8:15 p.m. ET Monday at Acrisure Stadium. In this article, we break down all of Collins’ prop bets set for this contest, and examine the stats and insights to figure out the best bets and top trends before kickoff.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Nico Collins to go over 70.5 yards
Nico Collins Prop Lines
- Matchup: Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: January 12, 2026
- Receiving yards prop: Over 70.5 (-113)
Nico Collins Stats and Trends
- Collins’ 71 catches (on 120 targets) have netted him a team-best 1,117 yards (74.5 per game) and six TDs this season.
- Collins averages 74.5 receiving yards, 4.0 more than his prop bet for Monday.
- Collins has put up over 70.5 receiving yards in 53.3% of his games this year (eight of 15).
- His 74.5 receiving yards per game are 3.5 more than his average prop total (71).
- Collins has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in eight of 15 games.
- In five of 15 games this season, he has a touchdown catch (including one occasion with more than one TD).
Recent Performances vs. the Steelers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jets | 212 | 1 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 278 | 2 |
| 3 | Patriots | 250 | 2 |
| 4 | Vikings | 302 | 2 |
| 6 | Browns | 183 | 0 |
| 7 | Bengals | 328 | 3 |
| 8 | Packers | 360 | 3 |
| 9 | Colts | 313 | 1 |
| 10 | Chargers | 199 | 1 |
| 11 | Bengals | 192 | 1 |
| 12 | Bears | 229 | 3 |
| 13 | Bills | 123 | 1 |
| 14 | Ravens | 203 | 1 |
| 15 | Dolphins | 222 | 2 |
| 16 | Lions | 346 | 3 |
| 17 | Browns | 184 | 1 |
| 18 | Ravens | 222 | 3 |
Texans Away Splits
- On the road, the Texans score fewer points (19.8 per game) than they do overall (23.8). But they also allow fewer in away games (15.4) than overall (17.4).
- The Texans accumulate fewer yards away from home (314.5 per game) than they do overall (327), but also concede fewer in away games (271.1 per game) than overall (277.2).
- In road tilts, the Texans pick up fewer passing yards (213.6 per game) than overall (218.1). They also concede more passing yards (188.1 per game) than overall (183.5).
- The Texans pick up 100.9 rushing yards per game in away games (eight fewer than overall), and give up 83 rushing yards away from home (10.7 fewer than overall).
- When playing on the road, the Texans convert fewer third downs (34%) than they do overall (37.2%). But they also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs in road games (33.7%) than overall (36.2%).
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