Josh Allen and his Buffalo Bills teammates match up against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 6:30 PM ET Sunday. In this article we break down all of Allen’s prop bets available for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Josh Allen to go over 233.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Date: January 26, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 233.5 (-109)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 50.5 (-111)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has thrown for 3,731 yards (233.2 per game), completing 63.6% of his throws, with 28 TDs and six INTs.
- Allen’s passing yardage average this year — 233.2 yards per game — is 0.3 lower than Sunday’s over/under.
- In eight of 16 matchups this season, Allen has topped 233.5 passing yards.
- His passing yards average of 233.2 yards is higher than his average prop total this year (232.1) by 1.1 yards.
- This year, Allen has hit the over on his passing yards total eight times (50.0%).
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in 14 of 16 games this season, with more than one TD throw 10 times.
- Allen has figured on the ground too, with 531 yards (33.2 per game) on 102 carries and 12 TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Chiefs
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 267 | 1 |
| 2 | Bengals | 246 | 2 |
| 3 | Falcons | 229 | 1 |
| 4 | Chargers | 169 | 1 |
| 5 | Saints | 174 | 2 |
| 7 | 49ers | 209 | 0 |
| 8 | Raiders | 195 | 2 |
| 9 | Buccaneers | 189 | 2 |
| 10 | Broncos | 182 | 2 |
| 11 | Bills | 262 | 1 |
| 12 | Panthers | 249 | 1 |
| 13 | Raiders | 318 | 2 |
| 14 | Chargers | 194 | 1 |
| 15 | Browns | 127 | 0 |
| 16 | Texans | 227 | 2 |
| 17 | Steelers | 162 | 0 |
| 18 | Broncos | 321 | 4 |
| Playoffs | Texans | 187 | 0 |
Bills Away Splits
- The Bills score 27.9 points per game away from home (three fewer than overall), and allow 25.2 in away games (3.6 more than overall).
- The Bills pick up 360.1 yards per game on the road (one more than overall), and concede 386.3 on the road (44.8 more than overall).
- In road tilts, the Bills pick up fewer passing yards (224.9 per game) than overall (227.9). They also concede more passing yards (270.8 per game) than overall (226.1).
- On the road the Bills pick up more rushing yards (135.2 per game) than overall (131.2). But they also give up more rushing yards (115.6) than overall (115.5).
- The Bills convert fewer third downs away from home (40.9%) than they do overall (44.1%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs on the road (45.5%) than overall (43.8%).
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