The AFC Championship Game of the NFL playoffs features Xavier Worthy and the Kansas City Chiefs versus the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 PM ET Sunday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Let’s take a look at Worthy’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this contest to help you come up with good predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Xavier Worthy to go over 51.5 yards
Xavier Worthy Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Date: January 26, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 3.5 (-127)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 51.5 (-109)
Xavier Worthy Stats and Trends
- Worthy’s 59 receptions (on 98 targets) have netted him 638 yards (to average 39.9 per game) and six TDs.
- Worthy’s 39.9 receiving yards per game are 11.6 less than his over/under for Sunday’s matchup.
- Worthy has totaled over 51.5 receiving yards in 31.2% of his games this year (five out of 16).
- His 39.9 receiving yards per game are 3.9 more than his average prop total (36).
- Worthy has gone over on his prop for receiving yards in eight of 15 games this season.
- He has six games with a touchdown catch this season, out of 16 played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals | 146 | 1 |
| 2 | Dolphins | 212 | 1 |
| 3 | Jaguars | 147 | 1 |
| 4 | Ravens | 156 | 2 |
| 5 | Texans | 331 | 1 |
| 6 | Jets | 272 | 2 |
| 7 | Titans | 200 | 1 |
| 8 | Seahawks | 201 | 0 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 224 | 2 |
| 10 | Colts | 240 | 2 |
| 11 | Chiefs | 181 | 3 |
| 13 | 49ers | 86 | 0 |
| 14 | Rams | 320 | 2 |
| 15 | Lions | 473 | 5 |
| 16 | Patriots | 253 | 2 |
| 17 | Jets | 169 | 2 |
| 18 | Patriots | 232 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Broncos | 145 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Ravens | 240 | 2 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- In home games, the Chiefs put up 23.8 points per game and concede 18.6. That’s more than they score overall (22.6), but less than they allow (19.2).
- At home, the Chiefs accumulate 348.1 yards per game and give up 321.1. That’s more than they gain (327.6) and allow (320.6) overall.
- The Chiefs accumulate 245.1 passing yards per game at home (22.7 more than their overall average), and concede 224.6 at home (5.8 more than overall).
- The Chiefs rack up 103 rushing yards per game at home (2.3 less than their overall average), and concede 96.5 at home (5.3 less than overall).
- The Chiefs’ offensive third-down percentage at home (47.7%) is lower than their overall average (48.5%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (43.4%) is higher than overall (43.3%).
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