The Buffalo Bills, led by Josh Allen, will take the field against the Miami Dolphins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday for a Week 3 NFL contest. In this piece, we’ll break down Allen’s stats and trends to help you pick out the top bets among his props for this contest.

Josh Allen Prop Lines

• Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Date: September 18, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 235.5 (-113)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 30.5 (-109)

Josh Allen Stats and Trends

• Allen has thrown for 542 yards (271.0 per game), completing 66.2% of his throws, with two TDs and zero INTs.
• Allen is throwing for 271.0 yards per game, which is 35.5 more than his over/under on Thursday.
• In two contests this season, Allen has surpassed 235.5 passing yards on one occasion.
• His 271.0 passing yards per game average is 41.5 greater than his average prop bet total of 229.5.
• This season, Allen has gone over his passing yards prop total once.
• He completed a touchdown pass once in two games this year, and he had multiple TD throws in that game.
• Allen has also run 20 times for 89 yards and two scores, averaging 44.5 yards per game.

Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins

Bills Home Splits (Last Season)

• The Bills’ average points scored in home games (34.3) was higher than their overall average (30.9). But their average points allowed at home (17.6) was lower than overall (21.6).
• The Bills racked up 358 yards per game at home (1.1 less than their overall average), and gave up 291.1 at home (50.4 less than overall).
• The Bills’ average yards passing at home (231.4) was higher than their overall average (227.9). And their average yards allowed at home (175.8) was lower than overall (226.1).
• The Bills accumulated 126.6 rushing yards per game at home (4.6 less than their overall average), and gave up 115.4 at home (0.1 less than overall).
• The Bills converted 47.8% of third downs in home games (3.7% higher than their overall average), and conceded 41.8% at home (two% lower than overall).