NFL action for Week 3 includes the Buffalo Bills and Khalil Shakir facing off against the Miami Dolphins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Below, we dig into Shakir’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you find the best bets for the player and this matchup.

Khalil Shakir Prop Lines

• Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Date: September 18, 2025
• Receiving yards prop: Over 42.5 (-114)

Khalil Shakir Stats and Trends

• Shakir has hauled in seven catches for 76 yards this campaign this season. He has been targeted on 11 occasions, and averages 38.0 yards receiving.
• Shakir records 38.0 receiving yards per game, 4.5 fewer than his over/under set for Thursday’s matchup.
• In one out of two games this year, Shakir has gained over 42.5 receiving yards.
• His season average of 38.0 receiving yards is 9.5 less than his average over/under (47.5).
• In one of two games this season, Shakir has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet.
• He has zero touchdown catches in two games this year.

Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins

Bills Home Splits (Last Season)

• The Bills’ average points scored in home games (34.3) was higher than their overall average (30.9). But their average points conceded at home (17.6) was lower than overall (21.6).
• The Bills accumulated 358 yards per game at home (1.1 less than their overall average), and gave up 291.1 at home (50.4 less than overall).
• The Bills accumulated 231.4 passing yards per game at home (3.5 more than their overall average), and conceded 175.8 at home (50.3 less than overall).
• The Bills’ averages of rushing yards gained (126.6) and conceded (115.4) at home were both lower than their overall averages of 131.2 and 115.5, respectively.
• At home, the Bills converted 47.8% of third downs and allowed 41.8% to be converted. That’s more than they converted overall (44.1%), and less than they allowed (43.8%).