The Kentucky Wildcats (12-6, 3-2 SEC) are 7.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Texas Longhorns (11-7, 2-3 SEC) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at Rupp Arena. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.
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Kentucky Cover -7.5 vs Texas -107
Kentucky vs. Texas betting lines
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -332
- Texas moneyline odds to win: +264
- Spread: Kentucky (-7.5)
- Total: 151.5
Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Kentucky has a better record against the spread in home games (6-5-0) than it does in away games (1-3-0).
- The Wildcats have gone over the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in six of 11 home matchups (54.5%). In road games, they have hit the over in two of four games (50%).
- Kentucky has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 8-2 (.800). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Wildcats’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 80.0 points a contest compared to the 82.9 they’ve averaged this season.
- Kentucky’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (75.4) is 5.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.2).
- Over their last 10 contests, the Wildcats are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.3 compared to 8.6 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.1% compared to 34.9% season-long).
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-10-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 8-10-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1 (50th in nation) | 41.6 (68th) | 34.8 (74th) | 29.0 (71st) | 17.3 (40th) | 9.7 (43rd) |
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Texas statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Texas performed better against the spread on the road (5-5-0) than at home (8-10-0) last year.
- Longhorns games went above the over/under more frequently at home (12 times out of 18) than away (six of 10) last year.
- The Longhorns’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs was .000 (0-3) last year, and on the road it was .286 (2-5).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Longhorns are posting 82.7 points per game, compared to their season average of 86.3.
- While Texas is surrendering 74.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 76.4 points per contest.
- The Longhorns are making 7.4 three-pointers per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.9). In addition, they own a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.5%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (34.7%).
Texas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-8-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-6-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-7-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-4 (Home: 5-3; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 (41st in nation) | 42.8 (130th) | 38.0 (18th) | 27.4 (20th) | 13.2 (254th) | 11.3 (174th) |
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