Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-8, 2-3 SEC) are underdogs (+8.5) as they attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Texas A&M Aggies (14-4, 4-1 SEC) at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at Reed Arena. The contest airs on SEC Network. The point total is 163.5 for the matchup.

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Texas A&M Cover -8.5 vs Mississippi State -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Texas A&M moneyline odds to win: -402
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +312
  • Spread: Texas A&M (-8.5)
  • Total: 163.5

Texas A&M statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Texas A&M sports a worse record against the spread in home games (6-5-0) than it does in road games (4-1-0).
  • The Aggies have eclipsed the over/under in eight of 11 home games (72.7%), compared to three of five road games (60%).
  • When playing at home, Texas A&M has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 7-1 (.875). On the road, it is 1-1 (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Aggies have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 90.6 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 91.9 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • Texas A&M’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 79.3 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 77.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
  • The Aggies are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 10.6 threes per game and shooting 36.1% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 11.3 makes and 37.0% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Texas A&M betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-7-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 4-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 4-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-6-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 3-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.0 (53rd in nation) 43.7 (175th) 34.2 (103rd) 32.9 (284th) 19.8 (sixth) 11.8 (224th)

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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Mississippi State had a lower winning percentage at home (.400, 6-9-0 record) than on the road (.545, 6-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games finished over less frequently at home (nine of 15, 60%) than on the road (seven of 11, 63.6%) last season.

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Bulldogs are putting up 78.6 points per contest, 0.8 fewer points than their season average (79.4).
  • Mississippi State is surrendering 75.2 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 2.2 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (77.4).
  • In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs are draining 7.1 treys per contest, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (7.7). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (29.3%) compared to their season average (30.5%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-12-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 2-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-8-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 3-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.5 (234th in nation) 42.0 (84th) 37.9 (19th) 35.8 (347th) 12.7 (285th) 10.8 (129th)
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