The Liberty Flames (23-3, 15-0 CUSA) take a 17-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (15-11, 8-7 CUSA), winners of three straight. The Flames are favorites (-7.5) in the contest, which begins at 4 p.m. ET (on ESPN+) on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The point total for the matchup is set at 146.5.
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Liberty Cover -7.5 vs Western Kentucky -110
Liberty vs. Western Kentucky betting lines
- Liberty moneyline odds to win: -352
- Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +272
- Spread: Liberty (-7.5)
- Total: 146.5
Liberty statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Liberty has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-5-0) than it does in away games (6-4-0).
- The Flames have hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of games at home (70%) than road games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Liberty has the same winning percentage when playing at home compared to when playing on the road (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Flames’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 77.1 points a contest compared to the 79.3 they’ve averaged this year.
- Liberty has been less stingy on defense lately, giving up 69.8 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 68.5 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
- While the Flames are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (10.4 per game) compared to their season-long average (10.6), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (41.8% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 40.6% on the season).
Liberty betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-12-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-2 (Home: 9-0; Away: 8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.0 (second in nation) | 43.8 (164th) | 27.0 (355th) | 30.8 (171st) | 17.6 (25th) | 8.3 (third) |
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Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Western Kentucky has had better results on the road (4-5-0) than at home (5-7-0).
- Hilltoppers games have gone above the over/under 50% of the time at home (six of 12), and 33.3% of the time away (three of nine).
- The Hilltoppers, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than on the road (1-4) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Hilltoppers are scoring 77.9 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, producing 72.9 points per contest.
- Western Kentucky is giving up 74.2 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 0.9 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (75.1).
- The Hilltoppers are draining 8.8 threes per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.3 more than their average for the season (8.5). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.1%) compared to their season average from three-point land (33.0%).
Western Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
- O-U-P: 10-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.0 (359th in nation) | 42.6 (90th) | 35.6 (40th) | 33.4 (307th) | 13.1 (241st) | 10.0 (67th) |
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