The No. 3 Michigan State Spartans (25-7) and the No. 14 North Dakota State Bison (27-7) will meet on Thursday to compete for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Michigan State is favored by 16.5 points in the opening round matchup, which begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on TNT. Here are the insights you need when filling out your bracket for this 3-14 matchup. The matchup has an over/under of 144 points.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Michigan State Cover -16.5 vs North Dakota State -105
Michigan State vs. North Dakota State betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -2041
- North Dakota State moneyline odds to win: +950
- Spread: Michigan State (-16.5)
- Total: 144
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- On offense, the Spartans have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 78.5 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 78.9 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Michigan State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (77.2) is 8.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.4).
- The Spartans are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.1 threes per game and shooting 38.0% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.7 makes and 35.9% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 13-13-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 15-17-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-3 (Home: 15-0; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (64th in nation) | 41.0 (32nd) | 36.9 (14th) | 25.5 (first) | 18.5 (fifth) | 10.8 (172nd) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. North Dakota State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
North Dakota State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Bison have played worse offensively over their past 10 games, generating 79.3 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points their than season average of 80.7.
- Over its past 10 games, North Dakota State is giving up 67.7 points per game, 1.9 fewer points than its season average (69.6).
- In their previous 10 games, the Bison are sinking 9.7 treys per contest, 0.3 more than their season average (9.4). They also have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (37.0%) compared to their season average (36.5%).
North Dakota State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-13-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 9-6-0)
- O-U-P: 15-16-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-3 (Home: 10-1; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 (77th in nation) | 43.8 (149th) | 33.1 (113th) | 28.6 (43rd) | 15.5 (82nd) | 10.4 (119th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
