A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (33-3) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9) will determine one of the squads heading to the Midwest Region bracket final when it tips off on Friday at United Center, starting at 7:35 p.m. ET, airing on TBS. Sportsbooks think Michigan will emerge victorious in this one, naming the as 9.5-point favorites. The matchup’s over/under is set at 172.5.
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Michigan Cover -9.5 vs Alabama -110
Michigan vs. Alabama betting lines
- Michigan moneyline odds to win: -505
- Alabama moneyline odds to win: +369
- Spread: Michigan (-9.5)
- Total: 172.5
Michigan statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Wolverines’ offense has been much worse over their last 10 games, racking up 79.2 points a contest compared to the 87.4 they’ve averaged this season.
- Michigan’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (71.7) is 2.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.6).
- During their past 10 outings, the Wolverines are making 0.6 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.6 compared to 9.2 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (37.9% compared to 36.6% season-long).
Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-19-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 11-15-0 (As Favorite: 16-19-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 15-21-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 32-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 11-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.1 (fourth in nation) | 38.7 (third) | 36.7 (16th) | 26.8 (10th) | 18.8 (fourth) | 11.6 (249th) |
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Alabama statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Crimson Tide are posting 91 points per game, 0.6 fewer points than their season average (91.6).
- While Alabama is allowing 82.5 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark over its last 10 games, allowing 81.4 points per contest.
- In their last 10 games, the Crimson Tide are making 12.9 threes per game, 0.1 more than their season average (12.8). They also have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (37.3%) compared to their season average (36%).
Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-18-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- O-U-P: 19-15-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 8-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-5 (Home: 11-3; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (142nd in nation) | 43 (99th) | 37.1 (10th) | 35.8 (356th) | 16.4 (44th) | 9.6 (49th) |
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