The Montana State Bobcats (13-8, 7-1 Big Sky) are 4.5-point favorites as they look to continue a four-game win streak when they visit the Sacramento State Hornets (6-13, 2-5 Big Sky) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 at Hornet Pavilion. The matchup airs at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is 153.5 in the matchup.
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Montana State Cover -4.5 vs Sacramento State -105
Montana State vs. Sacramento State betting lines
- Montana State moneyline odds to win: -201
- Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +166
- Spread: Montana State (-4.5)
- Total: 153.5
Montana State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Montana State sports a worse record against the spread at home (4-3-0) than it does on the road (8-3-0).
- The Bobcats have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of games at home (71.4%) than road tilts (45.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Montana State has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.857) compared to away games (.750).
Recent trends
- The Bobcats’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 81.3 points per contest compared to the 79.1 they’ve averaged this year.
- Montana State has been less stingy on defense as of late, allowing 71.8 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 70.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
- During their past 10 contests, the Bobcats are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.3 compared to 10.0 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.4% compared to 36.8% season-long).
Montana State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-6-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-8-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (78th in nation) | 43.9 (179th) | 30.6 (276th) | 30.0 (115th) | 11.6 (330th) | 9.8 (49th) |
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Sacramento State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Sacramento State has been better against the spread at home (3-2-0) than on the road (4-8-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Hornets games have gone over more often at home (three of five, 60%) than on the road (seven of 12, 58.3%).
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Hornets have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 1-1 record) than on the road (.000, 0-12).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Hornets are putting up 79.7 points per game, 2.2 more than their season average (77.5).
- While Sacramento State is ceding 82.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 89.1 points per contest.
- Over their last 10 games, the Hornets are sinking 7.4 treys per game, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (7.6). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (30.7%) compared to their season average (32.2%).
Sacramento State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-10-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
- O-U-P: 10-7-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-13 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.8 (340th in nation) | 45.8 (280th) | 33.7 (114th) | 36.4 (356th) | 13.0 (255th) | 11.1 (159th) |
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