Vermont vs. UMBC betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 29

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UMBC Retrievers (12-7, 5-1 America East) are 6.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Vermont Catamounts (13-8, 5-1 America East) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 at Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 141.5.

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Vermont Cover -6.5 vs UMBC -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Vermont vs. UMBC betting lines

  • Vermont moneyline odds to win: -410
  • UMBC moneyline odds to win: +318
  • Spread: Vermont (-6.5)
  • Total: 141.5

Vermont statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Vermont owns an identical winning percentage against the spread when playing at home (.500) as it does on the road.
  • The Catamounts have exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than away games (60%).
  • When playing at home, Vermont has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 4-1 (.800). When playing on the road, it is 5-3 (.625) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Catamounts have been racking up 71.0 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Vermont concede 4.7 fewer points per game (66.3) than its season-long average (71.0).
  • The Catamounts are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 7.4 threes per game and shooting 31.9% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.8 makes and 34.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Vermont betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-10-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-8-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-4 (Home: 4-1; Away: 5-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (94th in nation) 43.4 (158th) 32.8 (166th) 28.3 (45th) 12.9 (262nd) 9.2 (21st)

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UMBC statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • UMBC has performed better against the spread away (5-4-0) than at home (3-5-0) this season.
  • In terms of the over/under, Retrievers games have gone over four of eight times at home (50%), and four of nine away (44.4%).
  • The Retrievers’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-1), and away it is .200 (1-4).

Recent trends

  • The Retrievers are posting 76.3 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.6 more than their average for the season (75.7).
  • Over its previous 10 games, UMBC is surrendering 70.4 points per contest, the same number of points it is allowing per game this season.
  • In their last 10 games, the Retrievers are making 7.8 three-pointers per game, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (8.2). They sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.0%) compared to their season average (36.0%).

UMBC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-9-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (67th in nation) 44.2 (200th) 31.6 (235th) 31.5 (202nd) 13.1 (249th) 10.4 (99th)
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