New Mexico vs. San Diego State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

MWC opponents meet when the New Mexico Lobos (21-7, 12-5 MWC) host the San Diego State Aztecs (19-8, 13-4 MWC) at The Pit, beginning at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Aztecs are 2-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 149.5 points.

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Spread

New Mexico Cover -2 vs San Diego State -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

New Mexico vs. San Diego State betting lines

  • New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -132
  • San Diego State moneyline odds to win: +109
  • Spread: New Mexico (-2)
  • Total: 149.5

New Mexico statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • At home, New Mexico has a worse record against the spread (7-7-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (6-5-0).
  • The Lobos have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (64.3%) than away games (63.6%).
  • New Mexico has played better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 11-2, compared to going 5-1 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Lobos’ offense has been very consistent recently, averaging the same 80.6 points per game over their last 10 games as they have the entire 2025-26 season.
  • New Mexico has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 73.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 69.4 it has conceded this season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Lobos are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.4 compared to 9.5 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (40.2% compared to 36.3% season-long).

New Mexico betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2+: 8-9-0 (As Favorite: 9-10-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-9-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.2 (126th in nation) 41.1 (35th) 33.8 (89th) 32.1 (243rd) 14.7 (123rd) 10.1 (92nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on New Mexico vs. San Diego State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

San Diego State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • San Diego State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (7-7-0). On the road, it is .750 (6-2-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Aztecs games have finished over less frequently at home (six of 14, 42.9%) than away (four of eight, 50%).
  • In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Aztecs have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than on the road (.000, 0-1).

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Aztecs are putting up 74.7 points per contest, 4.6 fewer points than their season average (79.3).
  • While San Diego State is allowing 70.1 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 66.4 points per contest.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Aztecs are making 5.8 three-pointers per game, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (6.9). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (32.0%) compared to their season average (35.8%).

San Diego State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 11-9-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 11-2; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.6 (49th in nation) 39.6 (13th) 33.0 (119th) 30.2 (131st) 15.4 (93rd) 11.8 (257th)
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