The UCF Knights (20-7, 9-6 Big 12) are favored (-1.5) to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Baylor Bears (14-14, 4-11 Big 12) at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Addition Financial Arena. The matchup airs on Fox Sports 1. The point total is 159.5 in the matchup.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Spread
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
UCF Cover -1.5 vs Baylor -112
UCF vs. Baylor betting lines
- UCF moneyline odds to win: -126
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: +104
- Spread: UCF (-1.5)
- Total: 159.5
UCF statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In home games, UCF owns a worse record against the spread (8-8-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (5-4-0).
- The Knights have gone over the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in eight of 16 home matchups (50%). On the road, they have hit the over in three of nine games (33.3%).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Knights have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 76.5 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 82.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- The past 10 games have seen UCF concede 2.6 more points per game (80.0) than its season-long average (77.4).
- During their last 10 contests, the Knights are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.5 compared to 8.4 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.9% compared to 38.3% season-long).
UCF betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 4-8-0 (As Favorite: 4-8-0; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 10-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-6 (Home: 3-2; Away: 5-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (45th in nation) | 45.8 (267th) | 33.3 (107th) | 29.2 (74th) | 16.3 (50th) | 11.3 (215th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UCF vs. Baylor? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Baylor has been better against the spread at home (6-9-0) than away (3-5-0) this year.
- Bears games have finished above the over/under 66.7% of the time at home (10 of 15), and 25% of the time on the road (two of eight).
- The Bears, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-5) than away (1-4) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Bears are scoring 82.5 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 75.7 points per contest.
- Baylor has fared worse defensively in its past 10 games, surrendering 78.2 points per contest, 1.5 more points than its season average of 76.7.
- The Bears are sinking 0.7 fewer three-pointers per contest over their previous 10 games (7.5) compared to their season average (8.2), and they are posting a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.4%) compared to their season mark (34.7%).
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 3-9-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 3-9-0)
- O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 2-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-11 (Home: 0-5; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.9 (42nd in nation) | 44.9 (221st) | 34.1 (77th) | 29.5 (84th) | 15.5 (89th) | 11.4 (224th) |
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
