Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups September 28, 2025

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New York Mets (83-78) visit the Miami Marlins (78-83) at 3:10 p.m. ET on Sunday at loanDepot park. The Mets are favored (-122) to break the 1-1 tie and take the series over the Marlins (+102). Sean Manaea starts for New York, and Edward Cabrera is Miami’s pick to start.

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Moneyline

Mets to win vs Marlins -122

Bet $20, Payout $36.39

Mets vs. Marlins betting lines

  • Favorite: Mets (-122)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+102)
  • Over/under: 8

Mets betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Mets betting info

  • The Mets have compiled a 64-50 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 56.1% of those games).
  • New York has a record of 54-46 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -122 or shorter (54% winning percentage).
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 55% in this matchup.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 76 times this season for a 76-77-8 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have a 74-87-0 record ATS this season (covering 46% of the time).

Mets hitting info

  • Juan Soto has a team-best 43 homers.
  • Soto’s home runs rank seventh in MLB and he ranks 10th in RBI in MLB.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .267 with 34 doubles, 31 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Among all MLB batters, Lindor ranks 19th in homers and 35th in RBI.
  • Lindor brings a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is batting .250 with three home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
  • Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 126 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .273.
  • Alonso has safely hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .262 with 27 doubles, 25 home runs and 50 walks.

Mets pitching rankings

  • The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks 11th in the majors.
  • New York’s 4.03 team ERA ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Mets average baseball’s 23rd-ranked WHIP (1.324).
  • Mets pitchers combine to allow the second-fewest home runs in baseball (149 total, 0.9 per game).
  • In its 5-0 win last time out, New York struck out five Marlins batters while allowing one hit.

Marlins betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Marlins betting info

  • The Marlins have entered the game as underdogs 131 times this season and won 63, or 48.1%, of those games.
  • This season, Miami has won 55 of its 112 games, or 49.1%, when it’s the underdog by at least +102 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 49.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of its 161 games with a total.
  • In 161 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 94-67-0 ATS.

Marlins hitting info

  • Otto Lopez is batting .248 for Miami with a team-high 77 RBI.
  • Lopez ranks 141st in home runs and 61st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Xavier Edwards’ batting average of .282 leads all Miami hitters this season.
  • Edwards is 375th in homers and 218th in RBI among all hitters in the major leagues.
  • Edwards has hit safely in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with three walks and two RBIs.
  • Agustin Ramirez has collected 123 base hits, an OBP of .287 and a slugging percentage of .415 this season.
  • Eric Wagaman has collected 118 hits this season and has an OBP of .296. He’s slugging .377 on the year.

Marlins pitching rankings

  • The Marlins strike out 8.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 23rd in MLB.
  • Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.63 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.
  • The Marlins have a combined WHIP of 1.305 as a pitching staff, which ranks 19th in MLB.
  • The Marlins have allowed the 22nd-fewest home runs this season with 199, or 1.2 per game.
  • Miami suffered a 5-0 defeat in its most recent game, as its pitchers struck out 15 Mets batters while allowing eight hits.
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Betting Guide

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