Week 11 NFL action pits Patrick Mahomes and his Kansas City Chiefs teammates versus the Denver Broncos at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday With prop bets set for Mahomes in this outing, let’s break down the stats and trends that will help determine the top bets for this game.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Patrick Mahomes to go over 262.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 262.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 24.5 (-112)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has thrown for 2,349 yards (261.0 per game), completing 64.6% of his throws, with 17 TDs and five INTs.
- Compared to his 262.5-yard over/under for this contest, Mahomes is throwing for fewer yards per game — 261.0 — this season.
- In four of nine games this season, Mahomes has eclipsed 262.5 passing yards.
- His passing yards average of 261.0 yards is higher than his average prop total this season (255.3) by 5.7 yards.
- This season, Mahomes has hit the over on his passing yards total five times (55.6%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of nine games (including multiple TDs four times).
- Mahomes has also rushed 47 times for 285 yards and four scores, averaging 31.7 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 62 | 0 |
| 2 | Colts | 306 | 1 |
| 3 | Chargers | 270 | 1 |
| 4 | Bengals | 106 | 0 |
| 5 | Eagles | 257 | 2 |
| 6 | Jets | -10 | 0 |
| 7 | Giants | 268 | 3 |
| 8 | Cowboys | 231 | 1 |
| 9 | Texans | 191 | 0 |
| 10 | Raiders | 114 | 0 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- The Chiefs score fewer points away from home (23 per game) than they do overall (26.1), and concede more (23.8 per game) than overall (17.7).
- On the road, the Chiefs pick up fewer yards (358.5 per game) than overall (370.1). They also allow more (349.5 per game) than overall (291.8).
- In road tilts, the Chiefs accumulate fewer passing yards (248.5 per game) than overall (248.9). They also give up more passing yards (232 per game) than overall (187.2).
- The Chiefs accumulate 110 rushing yards per game away from home (11.2 fewer than overall), and allow 117.5 in road games (12.9 more than overall).
- The Chiefs successfully convert fewer third downs in away games (41.2%) than they do overall (41.6%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs away from home (45.5%) than overall (40.8%).
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