Travis Kelce and his Kansas City Chiefs teamates will take on the Denver Broncos at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 11 of the 2025 NFL campaign. With prop bets available for Kelce in this outing, let’s break down the stats and trends that will help determine the best bets for this game.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Travis Kelce to go over 42.5 yards
Travis Kelce Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 42.5 (-111)
Travis Kelce Stats and Trends
- Kelce’s stat line so far this season shows 41 catches for a team-leading 540 yards and three scores. He averages 60.0 yards receiving per game, and has been targeted 53 times.
- Kelce averages 60.0 receiving yards, 17.5 more than his prop bet for Sunday.
- Kelce has put up over 42.5 receiving yards in 88.9% of his opportunities this season (eight of nine).
- He picks up 60.0 receiving yards per game, 16.5 more than his average over/under (43.5).
- In seven of nine games this season, Kelce has gone over on his prop for receiving yards.
- In three of nine games this season, he has a touchdown catch, but no games with more than one.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 62 | 0 |
| 2 | Colts | 306 | 1 |
| 3 | Chargers | 270 | 1 |
| 4 | Bengals | 106 | 0 |
| 5 | Eagles | 257 | 2 |
| 6 | Jets | -10 | 0 |
| 7 | Giants | 268 | 3 |
| 8 | Cowboys | 231 | 1 |
| 9 | Texans | 191 | 0 |
| 10 | Raiders | 114 | 0 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- The Chiefs score 23 points per game in away games (3.1 fewer than overall), and allow 23.8 on the road (6.1 more than overall).
- On the road, the Chiefs pick up fewer yards (358.5 per game) than overall (370.1). They also allow more (349.5 per game) than overall (291.8).
- The Chiefs pick up 248.5 passing yards per game on the road (0.4 fewer than overall) and give up 232 in away games (44.8 more than overall).
- Away from home, the Chiefs accumulate fewer rushing yards (110 per game) than overall (121.2). They also concede more rushing yards (117.5 per game) than overall (104.6).
- The Chiefs successfully convert 41.2% of third downs on the road (0.4% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 45.5% of third downs on the road (4.7% more than overall).
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