Patrick Mahomes will hope to make a difference for the Kansas City Chiefs when they play the Dallas Cowboys at 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday in Week 13 of the 2025 NFL season. With prop bets in place for Mahomes in this matchup, let’s take a look at the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Patrick Mahomes to go over 279.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Date: November 27, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 279.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 22.5 (-111)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 2,977 yards (270.6 per game), completing 64.4% of his passes, with 18 TDs and seven INTs.
- Compared to his 279.5-yard over/under for this contest, Mahomes is passing for fewer yards per game — 270.6 — this season.
- In 11 games this year, Mahomes has surpassed 279.5 passing yards four times.
- His 270.6 passing yards per game average is 13.5 above his average over/under of 257.1.
- This year, Mahomes has hit the over on his passing yards total seven times (63.6%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in nine of 11 games (including multiple TDs four times).
- Mahomes has also chipped in via the running game, with 318 yards (28.9 per game) on 52 attempts and four TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Cowboys
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eagles | 144 | 0 |
| 2 | Giants | 422 | 3 |
| 3 | Bears | 298 | 4 |
| 4 | Packers | 325 | 3 |
| 5 | Jets | 234 | 2 |
| 6 | Panthers | 194 | 3 |
| 7 | Commanders | 205 | 1 |
| 8 | Broncos | 247 | 4 |
| 9 | Cardinals | 221 | 2 |
| 11 | Raiders | 209 | 1 |
| 12 | Eagles | 276 | 1 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- The Chiefs average fewer points in away games (22.2 per game) than they do overall (25.2), and allow more (23.4 per game) than overall (18.3).
- The Chiefs pick up fewer yards away from home (349 per game) than they do overall (376.0), and give up more (348 per game) than overall (293.0).
- In road tilts, the Chiefs pick up fewer passing yards (248.6 per game) than overall (257.7). They also allow more passing yards (242.2 per game) than overall (195.4).
- Away from home, the Chiefs pick up fewer rushing yards (100.4 per game) than overall (118.3). They also allow more rushing yards (105.8 per game) than overall (97.6).
- The Chiefs convert fewer third downs in road games (40.6%) than they do overall (41.5%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs on the road (45.8%) than overall (41.3%).
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