The Kansas City Chiefs, led by Travis Kelce, will match up against the Dallas Cowboys at 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday for a Week 13 NFL contest. Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for Kelce in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Travis Kelce to go over 54.5 yards
Travis Kelce Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Date: November 27, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 54.5 (-110)
Travis Kelce Stats and Trends
- Kelce’s 54 grabs are good enough for a team-high 674 total yards (and an average of 61.3 per game) and four scores. He has been targeted 72 times.
- Kelce is averaging 61.3 receiving yards, 6.8 more than the prop bet of 54.5 set for Thursday.
- Kelce has collected over 54.5 receiving yards in 54.5% of his games this season (six of 11).
- He picks up 61.3 receiving yards per game, 16.5 more than his average over/under (44.8).
- Kelce has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in eight of 11 games.
- He has four games with a touchdown catch this year, out of 11 played, but only a single TD each time.
Recent Performances vs. the Cowboys
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eagles | 144 | 0 |
| 2 | Giants | 422 | 3 |
| 3 | Bears | 298 | 4 |
| 4 | Packers | 325 | 3 |
| 5 | Jets | 234 | 2 |
| 6 | Panthers | 194 | 3 |
| 7 | Commanders | 205 | 1 |
| 8 | Broncos | 247 | 4 |
| 9 | Cardinals | 221 | 2 |
| 11 | Raiders | 209 | 1 |
| 12 | Eagles | 276 | 1 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- On the road, the Chiefs average fewer points (22.2 per game) than overall (25.2). They also allow more (23.4 per game) than overall (18.3).
- The Chiefs accumulate 349 yards per game away from home (27.0 fewer than overall), and allow 348 in road games (55.0 more than overall).
- The Chiefs accumulate 248.6 passing yards per game on the road (9.1 fewer than overall) and allow 242.2 in away games (46.8 more than overall).
- The Chiefs pick up fewer rushing yards on the road (100.4 per game) than they do overall (118.3), and concede more (105.8 per game) than overall (97.6).
- The Chiefs convert 40.6% of third downs in away games (0.9% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 45.8% of third downs in road games (4.5% more than overall).
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