The Syracuse Orange (15-12, 6-8 ACC) are slightly favored (by 1.5 points) to extend a three-game home winning streak when they host the No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels (20-6, 8-5 ACC) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 153.5.

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Syracuse vs. North Carolina betting lines

• Syracuse moneyline odds to win: -137
• North Carolina moneyline odds to win: +113
• Spread: Syracuse (-1.5)
• Total: 153.5

Syracuse statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Syracuse sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (8-8-0) than it does in away games (4-3-0).
• The Orange have exceeded the over/under less often at home, hitting the over in seven of 16 home matchups (43.8%). On the road, they have hit the over in six of seven games (85.7%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Syracuse has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.833) compared to road games (.500).

Recent trends

• The Orange have been scoring 76.3 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 76.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
• The past 10 games have seen Syracuse allow 10.8 more points per game (84.0) than its season-long average (73.2).
• The Orange’s last 10 contests have seen them make 7.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.4% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 7.1 makes and 33.4%.

Syracuse betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 4-3-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 8-7-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
• O-U-P: 15-12-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 6-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 1-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-4)

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North Carolina statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• North Carolina’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .600 (9-6-0). Away, it is .375 (3-5-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Tar Heels games have finished over six of 15 times at home (40%), and five of eight on the road (62.5%).
• This year the Tar Heels are 1-0 at home when moneyline underdogs (1.000 winning percentage). Away they are 2-2 (.500).

Recent trends

• The Tar Heels are averaging 79.6 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 1.3 fewer points than their average for the season (80.9).
• While North Carolina is surrendering 70.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 77.0 points per contest.
• The Tar Heels are draining 8.4 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.5). In addition, they have a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.3%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.5%).

North Carolina betting records this season

• ATS Record: 13-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 3-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
• O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 5-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 13-0; Away: 1-3)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-2)