The No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (29-7, 12-6 SEC) and the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (24-11, 10-8 SEC) will meet on Friday to compete for a spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. Tennessee is favored by 4.5 points in the Sweet 16 matchup, which tips off at 7:39 p.m. ET on TBS. The matchup’s over/under is set at 144.5.
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Tennessee Cover -4.5 vs Kentucky -110
Tennessee vs. Kentucky betting lines
- Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -205
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +169
- Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)
- Total: 144.5
Tennessee statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Volunteers have scored 74.6 points per game over their last 10 contests, the same amount they’ve racked up on average this season.
- Tennessee’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (69.0) is 6.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.9).
- While the Volunteers are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings when compared to their season-long average (8.4), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (35.4% from deep over the last 10, 34.5% on the season).
Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-17-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 13-13-0 (As Favorite: 15-15-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 16-20-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 4-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
45.5 (130th in nation) | 38.3 (first) | 33.2 (104th) | 27.4 (14th) | 15.5 (61st) | 9.6 (40th) |
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Kentucky statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- While the Wildcats are posting 85 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, producing 82.7 points per contest.
- While Kentucky is allowing 77.2 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 79.5 points per contest.
- In their last 10 games, the Wildcats are sinking 8.5 treys per game, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (9.6). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (36.2%) compared to their season average (37.4%).
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-17-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 10-13-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
- O-U-P: 19-16-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 14-2; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-5 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-3)
Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
48.2 (24th in nation) | 43.5 (157th) | 34.5 (50th) | 32.1 (239th) | 17.1 (14th) | 10.3 (98th) |

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