Tennessee vs. Kentucky betting: March Madness Sweet 16 preview for March 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (29-7, 12-6 SEC) and the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (24-11, 10-8 SEC) will meet on Friday to compete for a spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. Tennessee is favored by 4.5 points in the Sweet 16 matchup, which tips off at 7:39 p.m. ET on TBS. The matchup’s over/under is set at 144.5.

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Spread

Tennessee Cover -4.5 vs Kentucky -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Tennessee vs. Kentucky betting lines

  • Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -205
  • Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +169
  • Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Tennessee statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • The Volunteers have scored 74.6 points per game over their last 10 contests, the same amount they’ve racked up on average this season.
  • Tennessee’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (69.0) is 6.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.9).
  • While the Volunteers are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings when compared to their season-long average (8.4), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (35.4% from deep over the last 10, 34.5% on the season).

Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-17-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 13-13-0 (As Favorite: 15-15-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-20-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 4-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (130th in nation) 38.3 (first) 33.2 (104th) 27.4 (14th) 15.5 (61st) 9.6 (40th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Tennessee vs. Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kentucky statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • While the Wildcats are posting 85 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, producing 82.7 points per contest.
  • While Kentucky is allowing 77.2 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 79.5 points per contest.
  • In their last 10 games, the Wildcats are sinking 8.5 treys per game, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (9.6). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (36.2%) compared to their season average (37.4%).

Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-17-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 10-13-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-16-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 14-2; Away: 1-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-5 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.2 (24th in nation) 43.5 (157th) 34.5 (50th) 32.1 (239th) 17.1 (14th) 10.3 (98th)
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