The No. 5 seed Albany (NY) Great Danes (11-20, 7-9 America East) are 2.5-point underdogs in their America East Tournament matchup against the No. 4 seed UMass-Lowell River Hawks (14-17, 9-7 America East) on Saturday at Costello Athletic Center, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total for the matchup is set at 147.5.
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UMass-Lowell Cover -2.5 vs Albany (NY) -108
UMass-Lowell vs. Albany (NY) betting lines
- UMass-Lowell moneyline odds to win: -153
- Albany (NY) moneyline odds to win: +128
- Spread: UMass-Lowell (-2.5)
- Total: 147.5
UMass-Lowell statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UMass-Lowell has done a better job covering the spread in home games (6-4-0) than it has in road tilts (9-9-0).
- The River Hawks have gone over the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in five of 10 home matchups (50%). In away games, they have hit the over in seven of 18 games (38.9%).
- In home games, UMass-Lowell has won more often as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 5-2 (.714). On the road, it is 2-1 (.667) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The River Hawks have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 74.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.3 points fewer than the 74.9 they’ve scored this season.
- UMass-Lowell’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has given up 71.3 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 75.8 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- Over their past 10 contests, the River Hawks are making 0.7 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (5.0 compared to 5.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (29.1% compared to 31.7% season-long).
UMass-Lowell betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 9-9-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-3-0; As Underdog: 9-10-0)
- O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 7-11-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 5-2; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-14 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.4 (112th in nation) | 46.1 (280th) | 33.9 (79th) | 29.4 (84th) | 12.5 (283rd) | 11.7 (255th) |
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Albany (NY) statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Albany (NY)’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .444 (4-5-0). Away, it is .312 (5-11-0).
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Great Danes’ games have finished above the over/under at home (44.4%, four of nine) than away (43.8%, seven of 16).
- This season the Great Danes are 1-1 at home as moneyline underdogs (.500 winning percentage). Away they are 2-11 (.154).
Recent trends
- The Great Danes are putting up 69.6 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 2.2 fewer points than their average for the season (71.8).
- Albany (NY) has played better defensively over its last 10 games, allowing 70.0 points per contest, 2.6 fewer points than its season average of 72.6 allowed.
- In their last 10 games, the Great Danes are draining 7.4 three-pointers per contest, 0.1 more than their season average (7.3). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (35.6%) compared to their season average (33.3%).
Albany (NY) betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-17-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 5-11-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 7-9-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 8-12-0)
- O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 7-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-15 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-11)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.9 (77th in nation) | 44.7 (214th) | 30.5 (262nd) | 28.6 (42nd) | 14.0 (164th) | 11.4 (227th) |
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